Keeper League First Base (1B) Rankings are based on a 3-year outlook for the 2009, 2010, and 2011 fantasy baseball seasons. Rankings are established for a standard fantasy baseball scoring system in mixed AL/NL leagues with scoring category stats including: runs, homeruns, rbi, stolen bases, and batting average. Keeper League (1B) Rankings include the Top 60 preseason 2009 fantasy baseball first base eligible players. Each individual players age for the 2009 season is listed in parentheses after their name. Good Luck this 2009 Fantasy Baseball Season!
KEEPER LEAGUE FIRST BASE (1B) RANKINGS 2009
1. Albert Pujols – St. Louis Cardinals (29)
Even after eight years of fantasy baseball greatness, Pujols will only be 29 years old during the 2009 season, and believe it or not, he is actually entering the prime of his career. Assuming his elbow is healthy for the 2009 season, Pujols is clearly the safest and best option at first base. 35-40 homeruns, 120 rbi, 100 runs scored, 5 stolen bases, and a batting average around .330 is likely for Pujols in 2009 and for at least two years after that.
2. Miguel Cabrera – Detroit Tigers (26)
Even though it seems like Cabrera couldn’t possibly get any better, the fact is that he will be just 26 year old for the 2009 season! A 40 homerun season could be in store, and unlike Ryan Howard and even Prince Fielder to an extent, Cabrera can actually hit for a high average in the .300’s. 35-40 homeruns, 120 rbi, 90-100 runs scored, and a batting average around .300 is a good bet for Cabrera in 2009, and possibly even through the next five years after.
3. Prince Fielder – Milwaukee Brewers (25)
Granted Fielder didn’t match his 50 homerun plateau he set in 2007, but 34 homeruns and 102 rbi isn’t anything to sneeze at either. At just 25 years of age for the 2009 season, Fielder is entering the prime of his career and should only get better as a more experienced major league hitter in the next year or two. Fielder has a great chance at posting 40-45 homeruns, 120 rbi, 100 runs scored, and a batting average hovering around .280 for the 2009 season. Those stats should also be consistent to expect from him over the next five years as well.
4. Mark Teixeira – New York Yankees (29)
A move to New York’s lineup could have Teixeira’s stats skyrocket in 2009. Given the fact that there is a huge difference in Teixeira’s and Ryan Howard’s batting average, Teixeira gets the nod over Howard for the #4 keeper league first base ranking enter the 2009 fantasy baseball season. 35 homeruns, 120 rbi, 110 runs scored, and a .300 plus batting average should be expected from Teixeira in 2009. At age 29, a repeat performance of those type of stats can be expected from Teixeira during the 2010 and 2011 seasons as well.
5. Ryan Howard – Philadelphia Phillies (29)
Howard is the prototypical first basemen who offers huge power numbers but a meek batting average and horrible strikeout totals. So until Howard raises his batting average, he remains a liability and downfall to fantasy baseball teams that are in leagues that count batting average as a scoring category. 40-45 homeruns, 130 rbi, 100 runs scored, and a batting average around .260-.270 seem likely for Howard in 2009.
6. Justin Morneau – Minnesota Twins (28)
After what many deem as a down year in 2008, Morneau still managed to post 23 homeruns, 129 rbi, 97 runs scored, and a .300 batting average. If that’s a ‘down’ year, then is it unrealistic to expect 30-35 homeruns, 120 rbi, 100 runs scored, and a .310 batting average in 2009 from Morneau. A repeat in stats is likely during the 2010 and 2011 seasons.
7. Adrian Gonzalez – San Diego Padres (27)
As a former #1 overall draft pick, Gonzalez has put together three consecutive great fantasy baseball seasons, and best of all, no let up appears in sight for the 27 year old. A career year could be in store for Gonzalez during the 2009 season, with numbers approaching 35-40 homeruns, 120 rbi, 100 runs, and a .290 batting average.
8. Chris Davis – Texas Rangers (23)
With an excellent minor league track record, and tons of homerun and rbi potential, Davis is a must draft in 2009 fantasy baseball keeper leagues, as he could easily put up stats comparable to Ryan Howard and Prince Fielder. At just age 23 for the 2009 season, Davis should have a breakout year in 2009, with the potential to be a perennial all-star for the next five to ten years. Anything from 30-40 homeruns and 100 rbi with a decent .280-.290 batting average is possible for Davis in 2009, with the potential for 45 plus homeruns in another year or two.
9. James Loney – Los Angeles Dodgers (25)
Even though Loney has yet to display much power like traditional fantasy baseball first basemen, he will still only be just 25 years old during the 2009 season. An increase to 20-25 homeruns with 100 rbi and 100 runs scored, coupled with a healthy .310 plus batting average is possible for Loney in 2009 and for another five years after.
10. Lance Berkman – Houston Astros (33)
Even though Berkman will be 33 for the 2009 season, he is still one of the most reliable and dependable fantasy baseball players out there. And if you are looking ahead to the next two or three years, Berkman should still be very capable of putting up good fantasy baseball numbers until he is 35. Expecting Berkman’s usual .300 batting average, to go along with 30 homeruns, 100 rbi and 100 runs scored is nearly money in the bank for the 2009 season.
11. Joey Votto – Cincinnati Reds (25)
After a breakout year in 2008, the young 25 year old Votto will be expected to build upon his numbers in 2009. With the ability and talent to make good on these expectations, Votto has the potential to post 30 homeruns, 100 rbi, 10-15 steals, and a batting average around .300 for the next five years.
12. Carlos Pena – Tampa Bay Rays (31)
Nearly a mini version of Ryan Howard, Pena’s biggest downfall in 2008 was his low batting average. If he can improve to the .280’s range that he posted during the 2007 season, then Pena will be a major steal in numerous 2009 fantasy baseball drafts. Pena will be 31 for the 2009 season, so this should be his prime production time frame in fantasy baseball. Expecting 35 homeruns, 110 rbi, 90 runs scored, and a batting average around .270 is likely for Pena in 2009 through 2011.
13. Garrett Atkins – Colorado Rockies (29)
If Atkins stays in Colorado, then he should be considered a very good and reliable fantasy baseball player, however his future position is somewhat up in the air. Atkins will qualify at both first base and third base in fantasy baseball leagues during the 2009 season, however depending on if Todd Helton can stay healthy and if Ian Stewart can become the everyday third basemen, Atkins permanent position is somewhat in flux entering the 2009 season. However on a positive note, Atkins is reaching the pinnacle of his career at age 29 for the 2009 season, so numbers in the range of 30 homeruns, 110 rbi, 100 runs scored, and a batting average at .300 plus is reasonable to expect from Atkins in 2009.
14. David Ortiz – Boston Red Sox (33)
After 2008’s injury riddled campaign, Ortiz will be looking to rebound with his usual 35 homeruns, 120 rbi, and 100 runs scored. Luckily for Ortiz, his age at 33 isn’t too much of a problem in 2009 fantasy baseball keeper leagues, because he can simply fill the DH spot and hit the ball without having to worry about much injury risk. So with the DH spot in mind, Ortiz should continue to be a very good fantasy baseball player for at least the next three years. 25-30 homeruns, 100 rbi, 90 runs scored, and a batting average around .280 would be on the conservative end for Ortiz in 2009.
15. Derrek Lee – Chicago Cubs (33)
If you want to say age is the cause of Lee’s downfall, well I wouldn’t go that far. Not when you consider all the other players who have gone on to post career years or near career years in their early to mid thirties (think Manny Ramirez in 2008). Overall, Lee is a very solid fantasy first basemen who can hit for average, has 20-30 homerun potential, 100 rbi and 100 runs scored ability, and can even post near double digit stolen bases. Another two or three years of good fantasy baseball stats should be expected from Lee.
16. Billy Butler – Kansas City Royals (23)
Butler is young and he can flat out hit a baseball. If his power game continues to develop, Butler and his batting title swing could post 20-30 homeruns, 80-100 rbi, and a batting average hovering around .320 in each season over the next ten years.
17. Pablo Sandoval – San Francisco Giants (23)
Entering the 2009 season, Sandoval’s future position is currently up in the air. He will either play catcher, third base, or first base for the Giants, and with plenty of power potential, he could be a top 15 overall fantasy baseball first basemen by the end of the 2009 season if he sticks at that position. However as of now, we cannot assume Sandoval will be a first basemen in 2010, so his ranking will remain here instead of higher on this list. Sandoval offers outstanding power potential and could easily post 20 plus homeruns and 70 rbi while hitting at or above a .300 clip.
18. Kevin Youkilis – Boston Red Sox (30)
Ok maybe I’m giving Youkilis the short end of the stick, but in all honesty, I just don’t see him coming close to his 2008 stats again during the 2009 season. In four prior seasons, Youkilis posted just 7, 1, 13, and 16 homeruns with batting averages totaling .260, .278, .279, and .288 in those four seasons respectively. In other words, a repeat performance of 29 homeruns, 115 rbi, and a .312 batting average isn’t likely ever again for Youkilis. If you want to take a chance and draft him higher go for it, but just don’t expect 30 homeruns and 115 rbi in a single season.
19. Adam Dunn – Free Agent (29)
If you draft Dunn, you can take 35-40 homeruns and 100 rbi to the bank over the next three seasons. However Dunn’s .243, .233, .234, .247, .215, and .249 batting averages over the past couple of seasons is also something you can take to the bank. I guess it depends how important those 35 homeruns and 100 rbi are to your fantasy baseball team.
20. Conor Jackson – Arizona Diamondbacks (27)
If Jackson would ever develop some power, he could easily be a top 15 overall fantasy baseball first baseman. Yet even if Jackson can just improve a little upon his 2008 numbers, then stats in the range of 15-20 homeruns, 10 stolen bases, 90 rbi, and a .300 batting average is very possible for Jackson during the 2009 season, with the potential for an increase in homeruns as he gets older over the next year or two.
21. Mike Jacobs – Florida Marlins (28)
22. Jorge Cantu – Florida Marlins (27)
23. Victor Martinez – Cleveland Indians (30)
24. Adam LaRoche – Pittsburgh Pirates (29)
25. Travis Hafner – Cleveland Indians (32)
26. Paul Konerko – Chicago White Sox (33)
27. Aubrey Huff – Baltimore Orioles (32)
28. Casey Kotchman – Atlanta Braves (26)
29. Ryan Garko – Cleveland Indians (28)
30. Nick Swisher – New York Yankees (28)
31. Kendry Morales – Los Angeles Angels (26)
32. Kila Ka’aihue – Kansas City Royals (25)
33. Gaby Sanchez – Florida Marlins (25)
34. Bryan LaHair – Seattle Mariners (26)
35. Daric Barton – Oakland Athletics (24)
36. Hank Blalock – Texas Rangers (28)
37. Todd Helton – Colorado Rockies (35)
38. Carlos Delgado – New York Mets (37)
39. Jason Giambi – Oakland Athletics (38)
40. Jim Thome – Chicago White Sox (38)
41. Travis Ishikawa – San Francisco Giants (25)
42. Joe Koshansky – Colorado Rockies (27)
43. Chris Duncan – St. Louis Cardinals (28)
44. Nick Johnson – Washington Nationals (30)
45. Chad Tracy – Arizona Diamondbacks (29)
46. John Bowker – San Francisco Giants (26)
47. Ryan Shealy – Kansas City Royals (29)
48. Kory Casto – Washington Nationals (27)
49. Brad Nelson – Milwaukee Brewers (26)
50. Micah Hoffpauir – Chicago Cubs (29)
51. Willy Aybar – Tampa Bay Rays (26)
52. Jeff Baker – Colorado Rockies (28)
53. Jeff Larish – Detroit Tigers (26)
54. Lyle Overbay – Toronto Blue Jays (32)
55. Dan Ortmeier – Colorado Rockies (28)
56. Jason Botts – Texas Rangers (29)
57. Dmitri Young – Washington Nationals (35)
58. Nomar Garciaparra – Free Agent (36)
59. Frank Catalanotto – Texas Rangers (35)
60. Richie Sexson – New York Yankees (34)
2009 FANTASY BASEBALL POSITION RANKINGS
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Catcher (C) Rankings – Top 30
2009 Fantasy Baseball: First Base (1B) Rankings – Top 50
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Second Base (2B) Rankings – Top 40
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Third Base (3B) Rankings – Top 40
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Shortstop (SS) Rankings – Top 40
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Outfield (OF) Rankings – Top 120
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Starting Pitcher (SP) Rankings – Top 150
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Relief Pitcher (RP) Rankings – Top 70
2009 FANTASY BASEBALL KEEPER LEAGUE RANKINGS
2009 Fantasy Baseball: Keeper League Catcher (C) Rankings – Top 40