The 2009 Oscars will be awarded live on ABC on Sunday February 22, 2009.
While the Oscar nominees are certainly worthy, the Academy of Motion Picture Arts & Sciences has in the past excluded certain types of films from the awards. Using this logic, I present my predictions for the 2009 Oscars.
Actor in a Supporting Role
While I would be very pleased to be wrong, Heath Ledger will not win a posthumous Oscar for his role in “The Dark Knight”. Ledger’s performance was brilliant without a doubt. However, the comic book genre films are overlooked as either not serious or not creative enough.
Sadly, Robert Downey, Jr. will not leave the Oscar ceremony with a little gold statue. “Tropic Thunder”, a great story, is directed and starred by Ben Stiller. That detail is Oscar poison.
I’m torn on my picks for the Oscar gold, but I am going with Phillip Seymour Hoffman in “Doubt”. “Doubt” is a serious film – generally considered more Oscar-worthy by the Academy. Hoffman has proven himself over the last few years as a versatile actor and a true student of the craft.
Actress in a Leading Role
I like Angelina Jolie. Her performance in “Girl, Interrupted” stole every scene she was in. Jolie has the talent and vision to be a leading lady who is also a character actor. I like to compare her to Johnny Depp – choosing the roles and blending into whatever the character requires. A more apt comparison might be Meryl Streep.
Streep’s numerous nominations with only two prior Oscar wins have a common theme – very strong competition. The 2009 Oscar nominations for Actress in a Leading Role, while not weak, are not as strong as prior years. Meryl Streep once again turned in a fabulous character portrayal in “Doubt” and that will hand her the Oscar.
The 2009 Oscar nominations strike me as strange as the film featuring who I believe to be the two strongest actors is not actually nominated as Best Picture.
“Frost/Nixon” is effectively a docudrama. It has many wonderful facets working for it, but not enough to win the statue.
“The Curious Case of Benjamin Button” has been compared too many times to “Forrest Gump”. “Forrest Gump” struck Oscar gold in 1995, but a similar film will not have the same luck.
I am very torn in my prediction for Best Picture. While “Milk” is a strong, worthy film, it doesn’t quite have what it takes to be considered the Best Picture at the 2009 Oscar awards.
I predict “Slumdog Millionaire” will pull the win of the statue for Best Picture at the 2009 Oscar awards. The critical acclaim and sweeping early season awards bode well for “Slumdog Millionaire”.