Washington Post Staff Writer Joel Garreau has, on WashingtonPost.com, reported on Russian senior analyst Igor Panarin’s prediction that the United States is going to be broken into six parts by June or July of the year 2010; that is about 18 months away.
Garreau’s article, “A Disintegrating U.S.? Critics Come Unglued,” reports further that Panarin’s ideas are gaining momentum in Russia.
A mini biography from Russia House gives a little more information as to who Igor Panarin is.
Igor Panarin has a Doctorate in Political Sciences and is Director of Ministry of Foreign Affairs, Russia. He often takes part in television discussions about Russia and the United States.
Examples of Panarin’s ideas of United States disintegration and possession by other countries includes Alaska going to Russia (poor Gov. Palin); it includes Hawaii going to China or Japan; it includes the Southwest states around Texas being taken over by Mexico and some of the Central Plains goes to Canada. Ultimately it would appear China gets most of us.
Little was made of Panarin and his ideas other than in Russia until the Wall Street Journal Reported them on the front page of their December 29th, 2008 issue in an article by Andrew Osborn titled “As if Things Weren’t Bad Enough, Russian Professor Predicts End of U.S.”
Now American Publications such as Time have lashed back angrily at Panarin dismissing his ideas as ridiculous and, it is easy to do that. However, is there any reason to take Igor Panarin a little more serious than the usual seer? Perhaps there is. While it would be unlikely the U.S would be divided as he predicts, consider this.
First, Panarin refutes the idea that he dislikes Americans and essentially would not like to see the event occur. Also, he indicates it would not be a good scenario for Russia because they rely on the stability of the dollar and they also trade with us.
What made me stop and take notice was that Panarin has been predicting America’s collapse for ten years. Further he says it will be based on an economic turndown which will lead to a civil war.
Of course, I find it hard to buy all of this business. On the other hand I notice when I am out in public there seems to be “edginess” that I don’t know I’ve ever seen before.
Panarin’s comments would have been scoffed at several years ago. Today people want to make fun of them but there perhaps isn’t the certainty there once was.